It might just be me, but I have a feeling that this year's trade deadline will be the least active trade deadline day in recent history.
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Seeing as how last year several teams had to mortgage their future (Nashville, Atlanta) only to get a slightly above average hockey players (Keith Tkachuk, Forsberg), I personally believe that GM's around the league will be gun shy. This coupled with the fact that it will be easier to land big name players in the offseason, I truly feel that no more than 3 or 4 high profile trades will be made. And by high profile, I mean either a 1st or 2nd liner, perhaps with a couple regulars or draft picks, or some moderately high first round picks.
Another factor is that some GM's are going to be very reluctant to trade away quality players, waiting for the perfect deals to come their way, getting greedier by the day. This combined with the fact that some GM's who are willing to learn from last years TD-Day deals, who are not going to sell the farm at the mere possibility of making it through the first round, leads me to believe that this TD-Day will be relatively unactive.
Risk is too high and possibility of a good reward is too low.
I believe that a team like Anaheim will make the biggest push, landing someone like Sundin or Hossa. Other than that, perhaps San Jose, Otawa, or Detroit will be making some big deals, and I believe that these teams will be the only teams making significant deals to improve their club short-term.
There were lessons to be learned from last year around this time, and I believe that NHL GM's will be wise to the fact that short term gain does not out-weigh long term pain.
So, in closing, my prediction is that this TD-Day is going to produce not only the fewest deals, but the fewest big time deals in recent deadline history. but let me tell you, if this deadline is as dead as i believe it will be, then this summer is going to be one exciting off season!
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