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PA • United States • 32 Years Old • Male

Week 16 Power Rankings

Posted 10:07 PM ET | Comments 0
Feel free to refer ESPN's, TSN's, and CBS's Power Rankings for Week 16, as linked below. If you'd like a much less subjective ranking, however, please continue reading...

http://espn.go.com/nhl/powerrankings

http://www.tsn.ca/fantasy_news/rankings/nhl/

http://www.cbssports.com/nhl/powerrankings

So, last week (Week 15), I took a look at a couple of these sites for the first time all season, and I was really shocked by the media's perception of teams' performance at that juncture in the season. As is my motto, I decided rather than complain, I would do something about it. As such, I'm putting my education toward a system that automatically calculates power rankings based on real data and trends, rather than subjective input and hunches. Feel free to have a look. This will be a system that I'll tweak, but I'm pretty comfortable calling it complete. So, have a look...

This is accurate through the completion of this afternoon's games.



There are four figures that are involved in calculating the Power Ranking...

AVERAGE: A total that takes a simple average of the team's performance throughout the entire season. Basically, if a team continues at the exact same points-per-game pace it has until this point in the season, the figure shown in this column would be that team's point total at the end of the season.

L10 TREND: This figure looks at a team's performance over the last 10, and attempts to predict a team's final point total, based on their recent trend. In other words, using the team's points-per-game average over their last 10 games, the number of points they could earn on this tear (or lack thereof) is calculated, and added to the number of points they have already earned.

BALANCE: The "BALANCE" statistic looks at a teams performance prior to the last 10 games, because it assumes the last 10 are a "fluke", per say. As such, it figures what a team's performance through the remainder of the season will be, once they come back down from their streak (or pick back up from a losing streak). This balances out the rankings for teams that were on a tear, but have been average over a handful of games.

STREAK: This last figure is merely like bonus points. Basically, if a team is on a good (or bad) streak, they will get a slight boost (or penalty). As we all know, hockey is a game of emotion. Teams will ride streaks, and may get an extra jolt from a good streak. At the same time, a team on a losing streak may struggle a bit, due to emotion. This is a very small factor, but it is enough to break a tie.

POWER PTS: This is the sum of the four figures above, and the Power Rankings are based off of this.

Also note, the previous week's rankings will be shown, in addition to this week's rankings, and the actual rankings. The four figures will be included for the sake of argument. Since this is my first week, last week's rankings are the same as this week's rankings...

Please give me your feedback!
Filed Under:   Meckelangelo   NHL   Power Rankings   Flyers  
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