I am all for the Mapleleafs, and would love to seem them make the playoffs, but it is not going to happen folks, let me explain. Lets consider for a moment that the Leafs win all of their remaining games for a total of 92 Points, now for the sake of argument lets assume all of the remaining teams also win all of their games so we can see how many loses each team will need to incur for Toronto to make the playoffs. Here is what the standings would look like if each team won every remaining game:
7th - Boston - 101 Pts
8th - Philadelphia - 98 Pts
9th - Buffalo - 97 Pts
10th - Washington - 94 Pts
11th - Florida - 94 Pts
12th - Toronto - 92 Pts
Now I am going to show how many games each team will need to lose in order for Toronto to make the playoffs, assuming the Leafs win EVERY game remaining.
Since all of the teams above Toronto have more wins currently, we will have to assume the Leafs will need one extra point to beat all those teams in the standings, therefore I will add 0.5 games to the number each team needs to lose for the Leafs to make the playoffs.
Boston - +9 Pts, need to lose 5 Games of 9 remaining.
Philadelphia - +6 pts, need to lose 3.5 games of 8 remaining.
Buffalo - +5 Pts, need to lose 3 games of 8 remaining.
Washington - +2 Pts, need to lose 1.5 games of 7 remaining.
Florida - +2 Pts, need to lose 1.5 games of 8 remaining.
So in this case, if the leafs won all remaining games, for them to make the playoffs Philadelphia would have to lose 3.5 games, Buffalo 3, Washington 1.5 and Florida 1.5. We all know how unlikely it is the Leafs will win all of their games. Now lets say they win all but one game (if they lose before OT or SO) then you have to add one more loss to all of the above teams. If the Leafs lose two games, then you have to add two more losses to each team. See where I'm getting at? Lets say the leafs do great and go 6-2, all in regulation and no OT or SO losses. How many games would each team have to lose? See below:
Boston: 7 games of remaining 9
Philly: 5.5 of remaining 8
Buffalo: 5 of remaining 8
Washington: 3.5 of remaining 7
Florida: 3.5 of remaining 8
So if the Leafs went 6-2, which is a good record for 8 games, all of the teams above them from Boston to florida would have to play very bad for them to make it. Even if they win every game, Boston needs to lose 5, and Philly needs to lose 3.5. Its not going to happen folks, unless a lot of teams, lose A LOT.