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When it comes to fantasy hockey drafts, the temptation is to pull out last year's stats and pick the guy who had the most points. A lot of bad assumptions go into that philosophy. For one thing, you ultimately end up with a host of one-hit wonders and miss out on the rising players. We've assembled here a list of players that peaked last year or had a fluke of a great season. These chumps will get drafted far earlier than they should. Don't get caught up in the hype. Sit back and let the less-informed GM's waste a pick, while you go for value.


Michael Cammalleri - Cammalleri posted enormous numbers last season, playing along side Iginla. He won't have anywhere near that talent playing on the disfunctional Canadiens next season. If you were able to cash in on his success in 08, it's time to sell high and watch this stock correct itself down to the 70 point range.

Jeff Carter - Carter enjoyed an amazing breakout year in 2008 and even challenged for the goal scoring title. But was this an indication of things to come, or another Brian Gionta? Best guess is somewhere in between. Carter disappeared in the playoffs a bit. Expect him to drop off a little from last season into to 30 goal range.

Patrik Elias - If you draft off last year's stats alone, you're going to be that sucker picking Elias way too high. He's still a fine player, but there's no chance he's going to finish with a point-a-game again in 2009. He's past his prime and has a history of inconsistency. Steer clear and let somebody else make the mistake early on.

Brad Richards - Richards built his reputation on one great season and a Conn Smythe trophy. Beyond that, he's been a consistent disappointment in terms of fantasy production. Sure he may be overlooked due to his injury last season, but he may also be overlooked, because there about 80 better options out there. Don't believe the hype!

Martin St. Louis - St. Louis is a tough book to read. The last three seasons have produced point totals of 102, 83 and 80, so he should be considered a fantasy star. But something just doesn't feel right. Maybe it's his team. Don't put too much faith in him putting up another 80 point season in 2009.

Todd White - White had a breakout season in 2008. Another word for it may be "fluke". With new talent arriving and emerging in Atlanta next season, White should slide back down the depth chart and find himself returning to mediocrity.


Marc-Andre Bergeron - Over the past five or so seasons, Bergeron has been drafted in the middle of the pack. If that happens this year, you should laugh and point. Bergeron won't crack 30 points this season.

Andrei Markov - It would be a mistake to think Markov will come anywhere near the numbers he put up last season. Registering 64 points on a lousy Canadiens squad was the highlight of Markov's career. Expect him to drop off by at least 15 points in 2009.

Mathieu Schneider - Another oldy-but not so good any more. It would be a good season if he finishes with more than 30 points. An even bigger challenge would be for Schneider to play in 70 or more games. There are too many better options out there.


Scott Clemmensen - What a shame. Marty got better. Clemmensen actually was in the top 10 at the all-star break, only to lose his job to the legend. With a new start in Florida, it's going to be more of the same, as Vokoun will occupy the net most nights. Ignore the numbers and ignore Mr. Clemmensen on your draft list.

Rick DiPietro - DiPietro is supposed to be a great goalie, and he surely will be passed on by many GMs. Make sure you are in that crowd. The Islanders are a train wreck and there are no guarantees that he will play consistently after so much time off, if he plays at all. After all, they signed 2 more starting goalies this summer for a reason. Steer clear. Be warned.

Miikka Kiprusoff - Despite his high win total, Kiprusoff's vital stats have slid consistently for the last 4 seasons. Having Sutter back behind the bench may bring some sanity back to the Calgary blueline, which may give him a boost. So, don't write him off, but don't overrate him either.

To get more free fantasy hockey tips and tools, visit http://www.landsharkhockey.net. Landshark Hockey offers a free draft guide and draft ranking tool to help generate your draft sheet.
August 19, 2009 8:38 AM ET | Delete
Yea, MArkov is gonna SUCK now that he has a shooter to pass to on the PP in Spacek and forwards who know what they are doing in Cammy (30 goals, 70 points), Gomez (15 goals, 70 points), and A. Kostitsyn who will rebound for 30-30-60we had a TERRIBLE year last year and you think his numbers will DROP with a better team?agree with the rest though St Louis will get at least 75 on an improved tampa team and Carter will probably get 40
August 19, 2009 10:21 AM ET | Delete
How long have you been following hockey? You are way off buddy, what you said makes no sense at all. You shouldn't post if you don't know what you're talking about.
August 19, 2009 10:55 AM ET | Delete
Canadiens fans should be rioting over what Gainey did (and didn't do) to this team over the summer. Too bad next year's draft prospects won't be as sweet as they were in 2009. They'll be drafting in the top 3 for sure in 2010.
August 19, 2009 11:13 AM ET | Delete
Well, while I would'nt pick them if the first rounds, I've been winning leagues over the past 3 years with Cammalari
August 19, 2009 11:27 AM ET | Delete
I disagree with you're opinion of Carter... The kids a star and hasn't even hit his full potential
August 19, 2009 12:06 PM ET | Delete
Kipper, over rated maybe correct. He is still however a great goalie who can make that game changing save. Lets see what happens with a tighter defence. Brodeurs numbers would not be as impressive if he wasn't playing on a defence first team that New Jersey has always been.
August 19, 2009 12:37 PM ET | Delete
August 19, 2009 12:41 PM ET | Delete
I disagree with the majority of your predictions. But the one that really sticks out is Andrei Markov. He won't come anywhere near? What do you base that from? Markov has been increasing in points during the past four seasons, so why would he drop now? The Habs have bolstered their offense and PP, too. Markov is the catalyst of the Habs' success. He's that valuable.
August 19, 2009 12:43 PM ET | Delete
Picking second overall in my fantasy league, so far, in order...Crosby, Jeff Carter, Mike Green, Steve Mason, Martin St Louis, Anze Kopitar, Bobby Ryan...next selection tonight, going for a d-man.www.hockeyfanzone.com
August 19, 2009 2:06 PM ET | Delete
August 19, 2009 6:15 PM ET | Delete
LOL if Markov gets below 60, he either gets hurt or retires with 10 games left.
August 19, 2009 8:11 PM ET | Delete
Cammi, Carter, Kipper and Markov over rated? Are you autistic?Kipper- Led league in wins last yeatCammi- 38 goalsCarter-Clutch goal scorerMarkov-60 points
August 19, 2009 8:12 PM ET | Delete
and St.louis over rated?! 2004 Art ross trophy winner
August 20, 2009 12:29 AM ET | Delete
lol....I love how offended people get when someone criticizes a player on their favourite team. Relax everyone...
August 20, 2009 10:11 AM ET | Delete
the Habs should challenge for a playoff spot, but if they make it it will be a quick 4 games with that group of midgets,
August 20, 2009 10:36 AM ET | Delete
to realistic... I'm a Sens fan. I have no reason to defend Markov other than the absurdity of his post.
August 20, 2009 11:13 AM ET | Delete
its funny how a stupid canes fan likes to bash on the habs. your predictions are ridiculous. you are way off buddy. I lol'd on the Markov one.
August 20, 2009 2:01 PM ET | Delete
I can't agree with what you said about cammi, carter, markov and kipper. But I guess that's what makes them predictions and not facts.
August 20, 2009 6:26 PM ET | Delete
August 20, 2009 6:27 PM ET | Delete
August 20, 2009 6:27 PM ET | Delete
I think a lot of people are freaking out because they're mistaking exactly what you're trying to say here. Just because you say something bad about a player doesn't mean you're saying they suck. No player is perfect, and for the most part I agree with what you're saying. These players are all very good players, but for some of them, if you draft them this year based on their point totals last year, you'll be making a big mistake.
August 20, 2009 6:27 PM ET | Delete
August 20, 2009 6:28 PM ET | Delete
August 20, 2009 6:29 PM ET | Delete
I effing hate the comments on this site. I'm sorry for the sextuple post.
August 21, 2009 8:13 AM ET | Delete
Exactly the point. I drafted Cammalleri last season (in the 8th round) and it was a big reason for me winning my draft. This year, someone's bound to take him in the 2nd or 3rd round, which would be a mistake. I'd likely draft all the players in this article (except maybe DiPietro this year), you just have to be smart about when to draft them.
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